{"id":992,"date":"2009-04-13T00:00:29","date_gmt":"2009-04-13T04:00:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.synapse9.com\/signals\/?p=992"},"modified":"2009-04-13T00:00:29","modified_gmt":"2009-04-13T04:00:29","slug":"soddy-physical-world-problem-make-the-ny-times","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/soddy-physical-world-problem-make-the-ny-times\/","title":{"rendered":"Soddy &#038; physical world problem make the NY Times"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>re:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/04\/12\/opinion\/12zencey.html?scp=1&amp;sq=soddy&amp;st=cse\">Mr. Soddy\u2019s Ecological Economy <\/a>NY Times Op-Ed, Sun 4\/12, mentioned by Tom in a LinkedIn \u201cGlobal Foresight\u201d conversation.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Tom,<br \/>\nThanks for mentioning the Times Op-Ed, It\u2019s just great some mention of Soddy and the \u201cphysical world problem\u201d finally appeared in the Times. \u00a0 As I find so often, I agree with his analysis of the problem,\u00a0about 110%, but that I find is as far as it goes!<\/p>\n<p>You might be interested to know that J.M. Keynes and Kenneth Boulding also came to very similar end conclusions. Each used their own language for it, but each at least would agree firmly that 1) economies are physical systems, and 2) at natural limits something would need to be done about excess savings of financial capital.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">The positive feedback of savings multiplying savings is limitless, as long as the economy generates profits.\u00a0<!--more--><\/h3>\n<p>I had independently come to that view studying what limits befall growth systems generally, how they alter their own environments, in the late 70&#8217;s. \u00a0 I began formalizing a general physics of natural systems with that as a starting point in 1985. \u00a0It centers around what I still think is a definitive theorem for what&#8217;s needed to avert a natural collapse of our economic environment.<\/p>\n<p>The versions of the solutions offered by Soddy, Keynes &amp; Boulding each focus on different hidden aspects of the same problem. \u00a0 My work focused on one more of the hidden culprits. \u00a0The others either\u00a0didn&#8217;t\u00a0quite see the one I found, or thought it could only be mentioned at a later stage politically.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\">redesigning the economic system to be compatible with the physical world and its natural limits.<\/h2>\n<p>I tend to think it needs to be mentioned up front, or &#8220;fixing the system&#8221; will be unrealistic, and won\u2019t go anywhere. The central hidden problem I noticed is that the whole idea of having low risk bets, where investments are all assured to yield a positive % return, is:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>a) necessary to have free markets work at all, but also<\/li>\n<li>b) completely incompatible with allowing people to keep adding their winnings to their bets over and over.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>If you have guaranteed bets and get to keep adding your winnings to them, it will blow up and collapse any kind of physical system,<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">sort of like the housing bubble did but also applying to the whole system.<\/h3>\n<p>The curious thing is that attempting to guarantee continual compound returns like that is the one thing most everyone agrees money is for\u2026 \u00a0 It is also something that nature will most certainly end either by waking us up or shutting us down.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ve gone into it quite deeply, well at least for what anyone can do solo. The curious hidden nature of it includes a world of other fascinating issues, like surrounding how nature invents new things to give life to, for example.<\/p>\n<p>The evidence doesn\u2019t \u201cexplain it\u201d exactly, but all things that get born do first begin with that same seductive compound multiplication process, but then switch to another stage. First there\u2019s the rocket, but if all you do is go straight up you never get into orbit, or something like that.<\/p>\n<p>That means what we&#8217;re being forced to do and what nature does to bring new life into existence are closely related. \u00a0 That&#8217;s to make a transition between immature growth and mature vitality like any organism does.<\/p>\n<p>How any organism does it is following the &#8220;map&#8221; of development in their genomes. \u00a0An economy doesn&#8217;t have that kind of guidance built in. \u00a0So to use natural examples as a \u201cmap\u201d for how to do it, we&#8217;d look to the range of examples that might offer hints.<\/p>\n<p>One place to start looking at what I\u2019ve done on both subjects is through my approach to how correct the financial misinformation driving the global economic decline in \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.synapse9.com\/issues\/concept$.htm\">Physics\u2026 pointing to a clear way out \u201c.<\/a> Basically it&#8217;s &#8220;simple&#8221;.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">The energy source for <em>building up<\/em> a system gets switched to <em>building out<\/em> the system, to let it mature.<\/h3>\n<p>pfh<\/p>\n<p>ed 2\/13\/12<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>re:\u00a0Mr. Soddy\u2019s Ecological Economy NY Times Op-Ed, Sun 4\/12, mentioned by Tom in a LinkedIn \u201cGlobal Foresight\u201d conversation. Tom, Thanks for mentioning the Times Op-Ed, It\u2019s just great some mention of Soddy and the \u201cphysical world problem\u201d finally appeared in the Times. \u00a0 As I find so often, I agree with his analysis of the &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/soddy-physical-world-problem-make-the-ny-times\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Soddy &#038; physical world problem make the NY Times<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-992","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-econn","category-theory"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/992","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=992"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/992\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=992"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=992"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=992"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}