{"id":53,"date":"2006-03-29T09:17:00","date_gmt":"2006-03-29T13:17:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.synapse9.com\/signals\/2006\/03\/how-could-we-possibly-tell-2\/"},"modified":"2006-03-29T09:17:00","modified_gmt":"2006-03-29T13:17:00","slug":"how-could-we-possibly-tell-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/how-could-we-possibly-tell-2\/","title":{"rendered":"How could we possibly tell?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span class=\"671322712-29032006\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial; font-size: x-small;\"> <\/span><\/span>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>How could we tell whether we&#8217;ve  ended up being at war with the natural defenses of the indigenous dessert  community of <!--?xml version='1.0' encoding='utf-8'?-->Iraq?<\/p>\n<p>The fact that the  behavior of the &#8216;insurgency&#8217;\u00a0 is seemingly so illogical and counter  productive for what would be presumed to be their own interests is one good  clue.\u00a0\u00a0 Natural\u00a0system responses are not planned or based on policy analysis, but on gut  reactions.\u00a0\u00a0 Quite often enough natural system defense mechanisms are  self defeating.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>In biological systems there are lots of ways defense  mechanisms mistakenly attack the body they&#8217;re supposedly acting to  defend.\u00a0\u00a0 We call it MS or allergies or inflammation.\u00a0\u00a0 In Iraq the field of conflict has now  become very complicated, with apparently several different communities, and us,  all involved in attacking each other in the name of protecting themselves, to the clear detriment of anyone&#8217;s actual good  interests.\u00a0\u00a0 It&#8217;s inter-community mayhem, and apparently our  responsibility for setting it off.<!--?xml version='1.0' encoding='utf-8'?--><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Back when it was ghostly quiet in  Iraq, the days and weeks following our invasion, the fall of Baghdad and our scattering of the  structures of government, the first sign of independent organization arising in  that land were the scattered crazy desert renegades running out into the open  and shooting at the passing massive army of \u2018liberation\u2019.<\/p>\n<p>Our guys thought that was really  hilarious and mowed them down. Then a few days later they came out in two\u2019s, and then in four\u2019s, this  time hiding behind the\u00a0burning wrecks. As their  style evolved it exhibited the classic easily recognizable progression  of\u00a0exponential growth.<\/p>\n<p>At that time in our own internal  political conversation we were still deceived by an illusion that Iraq presented an imminent danger to us,  still not aware that we invaded another country without a single scrap of solid  evidence of a threat. Here was the first evidence of the reality on the ground, and we thought  it was a joke.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>What should you say when you\u2019re in  an unfamiliar situation and see evidence of growth in response. Well, the thing you usually say  about a really big important learning experience is \u201cah ha!\u201d because growth is  clear concrete and reliable evidence of something much bigger going on. We should have said the obvious, \u201ctake me to your leader, you are  people we need to include in returning Iraq to it\u2019s natural owners, we apologize  for mistaking you for someone else in the confusion\u201d. There was a real window of  opportunity\u00a0that we  missed.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>What we chose to say about it, and  still choose, is to call them \u2018thugs\u2019, trying the same trick of character  assassination that has been so productive for our political establishment  throughout it\u2019s rise to power. It\u2019s a great little shortcut to power to slay your opponents with self  aggrandizing insults, but it makes the natural world your  enemy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/tracker\/13795202-114364184350729259?l=alongshot.blogspot.com\" alt=\"\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" \/><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; How could we tell whether we&#8217;ve ended up being at war with the natural defenses of the indigenous dessert community of Iraq? The fact that the behavior of the &#8216;insurgency&#8217;\u00a0 is seemingly so illogical and counter productive for what would be presumed to be their own interests is one good clue.\u00a0\u00a0 Natural\u00a0system responses are &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/how-could-we-possibly-tell-2\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">How could we possibly tell?<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-along","category-theory"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}