{"id":51,"date":"2007-08-23T00:02:00","date_gmt":"2007-08-23T00:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.synapse9.com\/signals\/2007\/08\/overshoot-self-correction-to-collapse-in-the-sp-500-mar-aug-07-2\/"},"modified":"2007-08-23T00:02:00","modified_gmt":"2007-08-23T00:02:00","slug":"overshoot-self-correction-to-collapse-in-the-sp-500-mar-aug-07-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/overshoot-self-correction-to-collapse-in-the-sp-500-mar-aug-07-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Overshoot self-correction to collapse in the S&#038;P 500 Mar-Aug 07"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>What&#8217;s it look like to you? The price swings in the S&amp;P; 500 over the last 4  months seem to display the natural complex system self-controls of the financial  system\u00a0&#8216;fishtailing.<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial; font-size: x-small;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.synapse9.com\/issues\/S&amp;PmovementsAug07-Sm.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" height=\"510\" \/><\/span>Systemic failure  is\u00a0generally the consequence of pushing self-correction  mechanisms\u00a0beyond their response limits.<!--more--><\/div>\n<div>Trying to respond  to each other too little and too late amplifies and\u00a0leads to all failing at  once.\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0I don&#8217;t know how to measure that directly, but observe  the same system physics operating as in\u00a0many other dynamic disordering  cascades like the onset of turbulence in flows,\u00a0and draw the conclusion  from that. [in case you notice,\u00a0I label the downward  overshoots as occurring at the top of the cycle, as\u00a0they\u00a0should be,  because the overshoots are in the rates of change] \u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/channels.netscape.com\/pf\/chart_quote.jsp?TickerSymbols=%24INX&amp;time;=6&amp;ctype;=hloc\">Link to latest S&amp;P price history<\/a>.<\/div>\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/channels.netscape.com\/pf\/chart_quote.jsp?TickerSymbols=%24INX&amp;time=6&amp;ctype=hloc\"><\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>In response\u00a0you want to think  of\u00a0it as stabilizing the pumps that are going out of control.\u00a0\u00a0  You want to relieve the pressures by turning off the pumps, and really hope  someone takes a whole systems point of view toward seeing what&#8217;s  next.<\/strong><\/div>\n<div>\n<p><span style=\"line-height: 13px; font-size: x-small;\">Phil  Henshaw\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0  \u00b8\u00b8\u00b8\u00b8.\u00b7\u00b4 \u00af  `\u00b7.\u00b8\u00b8\u00b8\u00b8<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What&#8217;s it look like to you? The price swings in the S&amp;P; 500 over the last 4 months seem to display the natural complex system self-controls of the financial system\u00a0&#8216;fishtailing. Systemic failure is\u00a0generally the consequence of pushing self-correction mechanisms\u00a0beyond their response limits.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,8,16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-along","category-theory","category-whattodo"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}