{"id":28,"date":"2007-08-18T12:36:00","date_gmt":"2007-08-18T16:36:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.synapse9.com\/signals\/2007\/08\/whether-successfully-averted-for-the-moment-or-not\/"},"modified":"2007-08-18T12:36:00","modified_gmt":"2007-08-18T16:36:00","slug":"whether-successfully-averted-for-the-moment-or-not","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/whether-successfully-averted-for-the-moment-or-not\/","title":{"rendered":"whether successfully averted for the moment or not, &#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hi folks,<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;this  week&#8217;s global run on credit\u00a0seems like a casebook example\u00a0of how a natural system failure to\u00a0provide  growing physical returns on investment\u00a0would effect financial commitments  for endlessly growing financial returns. \u00a0 They \u00a0naturally conflict.<\/p>\n<p>One thing we  can do is watch it closely, so others may learn from our experience.\u00a0\u00a0  Because systemic collapse is\u00a0a big physical process in a big physical  system, displaying all-together new kinds of rapidly spreading behaviors, watch  for that.\u00a0\u00a0 If you see that sort of thing perhaps you&#8217;ll <strong><em>&#8216;believe your  eyes and ears&#8217;<\/em><\/strong> and not feel the observations were &#8216;planted&#8217; in your imagination  somehow.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">Remember what things seemed to mean before and after,<br \/>\nand  make note of it.<\/h3>\n<div><!--more--><\/div>\n<div>&#8212;<\/div>\n<p>I&#8217;ve been  using the mismatch between our unlimited economic expectations and their certain  disappointment as a way to learn about natural systems and how they fool us for  about 30 years.\u00a0\u00a0 It&#8217;s\u00a0remains\u00a0a rich and engaging  subject.<\/p>\n<p>In June I sent out\u00a0my first &#8216;system collision warning&#8217;  ever, initially in a post to the AIA\u00a0environment  forum.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0I said I\u00a0thought the surprise  discovery\u00a0by the ethanol investors in May,\u00a0that ethanol couldn&#8217;t have  the land they wanted\u00a0because milk producers raised the price,\u00a0signaled  the tip of the growth system&#8217;s physical collision with the earth we&#8217;ve all been  waiting for, &#8216;the big crunch&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>The same kind  of\u00a0&#8216;fishtailing&#8217; in the steering mechanisms of the world economic system I  observed then in the energy markets also seems clear in the rapid, large  scale,\u00a0and indecisive maneuvering this week by financial  institutions.<\/p>\n<p>Just because  growth expectations are fulfilled, even for hundreds of years, doesn&#8217;t mean it&#8217;s  not certain that natural systems will fail them, and so our financial design  that requires growth for it&#8217;s own stability is a mistake.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">If this  week&#8217;s\u00a0threatened global financial collapse is just a warning, well, then  do take it as a warning.<\/h3>\n<div>Phil  Henshaw \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u00b8\u00b8\u00b8\u00b8.\u00b7\u00b4 \u00af  `\u00b7.\u00b8\u00b8\u00b8\u00b8<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\">_________<\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\">(The eventual research article in 2011 &#8211;\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.synapse9.com\/pub\/ASustInvestMoment-PH.pdf\">A decisive moment for Investing in Sustainability<\/a><\/span> )<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hi folks, &#8230;this week&#8217;s global run on credit\u00a0seems like a casebook example\u00a0of how a natural system failure to\u00a0provide growing physical returns on investment\u00a0would effect financial commitments for endlessly growing financial returns. \u00a0 They \u00a0naturally conflict. One thing we can do is watch it closely, so others may learn from our experience.\u00a0\u00a0 Because systemic collapse is\u00a0a &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/whether-successfully-averted-for-the-moment-or-not\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">whether successfully averted for the moment or not, &#8230;<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3,7,8,10,16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-along","category-among-best-2","category-econn","category-theory","category-pop","category-whattodo"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}