{"id":1225,"date":"2010-03-05T00:00:53","date_gmt":"2010-03-05T04:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.synapse9.com\/signals\/?p=1225"},"modified":"2010-03-05T00:00:53","modified_gmt":"2010-03-05T04:00:53","slug":"does-increasing-resource-supply-accelerate-depletion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/does-increasing-resource-supply-accelerate-depletion\/","title":{"rendered":"Does increasing resource supply accelerate depletion?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I think the answer is, well, yes of course\u2026 Most people seem to<br \/>\nintuitively confuse increasing their access to resources with increasing the<br \/>\nsupply when increasing their access to resources actually decreases the earth\u2019s<br \/>\nsupply.<\/p>\n<p>This is another way to understand the various mysterious efforts<br \/>\nto reduce the impacts of growth by streamlining and accelerating growth, which<br \/>\nof course multiplies its impacts. It basically means we are not being<br \/>\nself-critical and asking the hard questions. The easiest data to display the<br \/>\neffect with is the world energy\/GDP balance:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.synapse9.com\/issues\/EffLearn_grow.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"450\" \/><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Improving technology makes it appear that our resource supplies are increasing when it\u2019s really the depletion of resources of ever higher cost that is increasing.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Nearly everyone assumes that improving efficiency would reduce energy use but it has actually been increasing energy use by a ratio of 1unit of efficiencies to 2.5 units of new uses created. It seems to have had had that reverse effect for as long as anyone has kept records (see\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.synapse9.com\/pub\/EffMultiplies.htm\">Inside Efficiency<\/a>). Improving efficiency does increase OUR PERSONAL resources, and so reduces OUR PERSONAL resource constraints accordingly. It just doesn\u2019t increase the earth\u2019s resources or its resource constraints.<\/p>\n<p>This translates into a serious unavoidable natural liabilities bubble for<br \/>\neconomies designed to serve personal needs rather than become sustainable. As solving resource needs that way begins to create a problem of needing to do it ever faster, you run into natural obligations to escalate investment for<br \/>\ndeclining returns. It applies to any system that sustains its growth by<br \/>\naccelerating resource depletion, as all our traditional development schemes seem to do.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.synapse9.com\/issues\/images\/EarthDevl.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\">So, increasing the resources at our command (our demand) seems to be thought of as our supply\u2026 but accelerates depletion\u00a0of the real supply<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The same general principle of systems ecology applies to the development of any other kind of resource available to be exploited. Though it starts out<br \/>\ncontinually increasing our supply of things, improving technology to create more<br \/>\nsupply accelerates depletion (the earth\u2019s supply), leading to a liabilities bubble.<\/p>\n<p>All directions of development are subject to the same natural terminal limits of increasing investment leading to diminishing returns on investment. It occurs as a system runs into increasing difficulty on approaching natural limits to its<br \/>\nresources and ability to reorganize itself.<\/p>\n<p>The way the principle is used in systems ecology, since simple conceptual models don\u2019t adequately describe any natural system, is to rephrase the principle as a question. You then search the environment for indications of when the implied points of diminishing and then vanishing returns are approaching.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">You start by asking for any development system what complications might arise as it tries to control ever more of its environment.<\/h3>\n<p>I think people are definitely confusing their supplies and the earth\u2019s supply,<br \/>\nquite generally. The trouble seems to be that it is done so very habitually that<br \/>\neven professionals can\u2019t really discus the matter, so much of our common<br \/>\nlanguage and popular ideas are mixed up that way.<\/p>\n<p>pfh<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I think the answer is, well, yes of course\u2026 Most people seem to intuitively confuse increasing their access to resources with increasing the supply when increasing their access to resources actually decreases the earth\u2019s supply. This is another way to understand the various mysterious efforts to reduce the impacts of growth by streamlining and accelerating &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/does-increasing-resource-supply-accelerate-depletion\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Does increasing resource supply accelerate depletion?<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1225","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-econn","category-theory"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1225","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1225"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1225\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1225"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1225"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/synapse9.com\/signals\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1225"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}